Cartagena
3 - 1
Malaga

Castro (45' pen., 65'), Vazquez (54')
Andujar (5'), Neskes (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Peybernes (82')
Jimenez (9'), Rodriguez (37'), Gomez (43'), de la Fuente (61'), Peybernes (78')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Cartagena and Malaga.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 49.06%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 22.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.

Result
Cartagena	Draw	Malaga
49.06%	28.18%	22.75%

Both teams to score 41.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.42%

63.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.12%

82.88%

Cartagena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.76%

26.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.66%

61.34%

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.67%

44.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.6%

80.39%

Score Analysis

Cartagena 49.06%

Malaga 22.75%

Draw 28.18%

Cartagena	Draw	Malaga
1-0 @ 15.56% 2-0 @ 10.41% 2-1 @ 8.47% 3-0 @ 4.64% 3-1 @ 3.78% 4-0 @ 1.55% 3-2 @ 1.54% 4-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.85% Total : 49.06%	1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 11.63% 2-2 @ 3.45% Other @ 0.45% Total : 28.18%	0-1 @ 9.46% 1-2 @ 5.15% 0-2 @ 3.85% 1-3 @ 1.4% 0-3 @ 1.04% 2-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.92% Total : 22.75%