Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 17.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 2-1 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.79%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.