Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 42.73%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 26.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.11%) and 1-2 (7.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.55%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 1-0 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.