Almeria
4 - 1
Lugo

Sadiq (11'), Carlos Lazo (48'), Corpas (70', 75')
Fernandes (41'), Balliu (85')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Barreiro (41' pen.)

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Almeria and Lugo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 49.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 23.99%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Lugo
49.09%	26.92%	23.99%

Both teams to score 45.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.34%

58.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.79%

79.21%

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.99%

24.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.73%

58.27%

Lugo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.71%

40.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.08%

76.92%

Score Analysis

Almeria 49.08%

Lugo 23.99%

Draw 26.92%

Almeria	Draw	Lugo
1-0 @ 13.8% 2-0 @ 9.85% 2-1 @ 8.95% 3-0 @ 4.68% 3-1 @ 4.26% 3-2 @ 1.93% 4-0 @ 1.67% 4-1 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.43% Total : 49.08%	1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 9.68% 2-2 @ 4.07% Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.92%	0-1 @ 8.8% 1-2 @ 5.7% 0-2 @ 4% 1-3 @ 1.73% 2-3 @ 1.23% 0-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.32% Total : 23.99%