Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 16.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-1 with a probability of 18.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.81%) and 1-2 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.63%), while for a Lugo win it was 1-0 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.