Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 53.65%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 19.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.34%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 1-0 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.