Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cove Rangers | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
38.55% ( 0.02) | 26.15% ( 0.01) | 35.3% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 53.64% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.11% ( -0.06) | 50.88% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.23% ( -0.05) | 72.76% ( 0.05) |
Cove Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.18% ( -0.02) | 25.82% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.22% ( -0.02) | 60.78% ( 0.02) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.31% ( -0.05) | 27.69% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.75% ( -0.06) | 63.24% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Cove Rangers | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.42% 2-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.42% Total : 38.55% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.89% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 35.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 21 |
2 | Cove Rangers | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 20 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arbroath | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
5 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 18 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 18 |
7 | Montrose | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 14 |
9 | Dumbarton | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 12 |
10 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 1 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |