Rotor

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Zenit

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Rotor Volgograd had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Rotor Volgograd win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.