Russian Premier League | Gameweek 17

Dec 3, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

RZD Arena

Lokomotiv
3 - 1
Zenit

Kerzhakov (8' og.), Glushenkov (59'), Tiknizyan (88')
Pinyaev (63'), Nenakhov (70'), Maradishvili (83')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Cassierra (41')
Erakovic (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Lokomotiv Moscow and Zenit St Petersburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lokomotiv Moscow

All competitions

Last Game: Krylia Sovetov 3-3 Lokomotiv
Saturday, November 25 at 10am in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Zenit St Petersburg

All competitions

Last Game: Zenit 3-0 Sochi
Saturday, November 25 at 12.15pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Lokomotiv Moscow	Draw	Zenit St Petersburg
27.44% ( 1.38)	24.88% ( 0.74)	47.68% ( -2.12)

Both teams to score 54.35% (

-1.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.58% (

-2.19)

48.41% (

2.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.45% (

-2.03)

70.55% (

2.03)

Lokomotiv Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.23% (

-0.08)

31.76% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.8% (

-0.09)

68.19% (

0.09)

Zenit St Petersburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.65% (

-1.73)

20.35% (

1.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.25% (

-2.83)

52.74% (

2.83)

Score Analysis

Lokomotiv Moscow 27.44%

Zenit St Petersburg 47.67%

Draw 24.88%

Lokomotiv Moscow	Draw	Zenit St Petersburg
1-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.63) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.35) 3-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.74% Total : 27.44%	1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.41) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.56) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.88%	0-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 8.19% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 4.99% ( -0.38) 0-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.23) 1-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.27) 0-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.23) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.75% Total : 47.67%