Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 52.39%. A win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 23.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest Arsenal Tula win was 1-0 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.