MX23RW : Tuesday, September 17 13:42:53| >> :60:701:701:
Scottish Challenge Cup | Second Round
Aug 13, 2024 at 8pm UK
Bellslea Park
Forfar Athletic

Fraserburgh
2 - 1
Forfar

Barbour (76'), C (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Reekie (19')
Cannon (88')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Second Round clash between Fraserburgh and Forfar Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fraserburgh

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Fraserburgh 1-1 Hearts U21s (5-4 pen.)
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.30pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Forfar Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Peterhead 2-1 Forfar
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fraserburgh win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fraserburgh win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fraserburgh would win this match.

Result
FraserburghDrawForfar Athletic
40.84% (-4.175 -4.18) 26.2% (0.96 0.96) 32.96% (3.211 3.21)
Both teams to score 53% (-1.746 -1.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.5% (-2.889 -2.89)51.5% (2.884 2.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.7% (-2.572 -2.57)73.3% (2.567 2.57)
Fraserburgh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.12% (-3.281 -3.28)24.88% (3.275 3.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.51% (-4.788 -4.79)59.49% (4.784 4.78)
Forfar Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.55% (0.721 0.72)29.45% (-0.726 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.55% (0.875 0.88)65.45% (-0.88000000000001 -0.88)
Score Analysis
    Fraserburgh 40.84%
    Forfar Athletic 32.96%
    Draw 26.2%
FraserburghDrawForfar Athletic
1-0 @ 10.19% (0.203 0.2)
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.503 -0.5)
2-0 @ 7.09% (-0.564 -0.56)
3-1 @ 4.02% (-0.665 -0.67)
3-0 @ 3.29% (-0.622 -0.62)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.35 -0.35)
4-1 @ 1.4% (-0.397 -0.4)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.354 -0.35)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 40.84%
1-1 @ 12.46% (0.5 0.5)
0-0 @ 7.33% (0.808 0.81)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.196 -0.2)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 8.96% (1.147 1.15)
1-2 @ 7.62% (0.447 0.45)
0-2 @ 5.47% (0.796 0.8)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.24 0.24)
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.362 0.36)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 32.96%

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