Scottish Challenge Cup | First Round

Aug 1, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Borough Briggs

Elgin
2 - 0
St Johnstone U21s

MacLeman (20'), Barron (75')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup First Round clash between Elgin City and St Johnstone Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elgin City

All competitions

Last Game: Queen's Park 5-0 Elgin
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

St Johnstone Under-21s

All competitions

Last Game: East Fife 4-0 St Johnstone U21s
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Bonnyrigg Rose	0	nan
2	Clyde	0	nan
3	Dumbarton	0	nan
4	East Fife	0	nan
5	Elgin	0	nan
6	Forfar	0	nan
7	Peterhead	0	nan
8	Spartans	0	nan
9	Stenhousemuir	0	nan
10	Stranraer	0	nan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 50.03%. A win for St Johnstone Under-21s had a probability of 25.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest St Johnstone Under-21s win was 0-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.

Result
Elgin City	Draw	St Johnstone Under-21s
50.03% ( 0.06)	24.44% ( -0.17)	25.52% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 54.09% (

0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.03% (

0.83)

47.97% (

-0.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.86% (

0.76)

70.14% (

-0.75)

Elgin City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.8% (

0.35)

19.2% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.12% (

0.57)

50.88% (

-0.57)

St Johnstone Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.95% (

0.54)

33.05% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.35% (

0.6)

69.65% (

-0.59)

Score Analysis

Elgin City 50.03%

St Johnstone Under-21s 25.52%

Draw 24.44%

Elgin City	Draw	St Johnstone Under-21s
1-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.09% Total : 50.03%	1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.44%	0-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 25.52%