Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Rayyan win with a probability of 52.94%. A win for Umm Salal had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Rayyan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Umm Salal win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Rayyan would win this match.