Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 50.8%. A win for Umm Salal had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Umm Salal win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.
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