Metz vs. Lyon (Sunday, 12.00pm)
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Nothing less than three points will do for Metz when they welcome Lyon to the Stade Saint-Symphorien on Sunday afternoon as the Ligue 1 season reaches its final three games.
The hosts sit bottom of the table but are still just about avoiding relegation confirmation, whilst the visitors are hoping to squeeze into the European spots.
We say: Metz 1-2 Lyon
Whilst the hosts have had their moments going forward recently, their lack of defensive rigidity remains an issue. Metz may have slightly more to play for, but we are backing Les Gones to come out on top and keep their European hopes alive.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lyon win with a probability of 65.7%. A draw has a probability of 19.6% and a win for Metz has a probability of 14.69%.
The most likely scoreline is Metz 0-2 Lyon with a probability of 11.03% and the second most likely scoreline is Metz 0-1 Lyon with a probability of 10.38%.
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Angers vs. Bordeaux (Sunday, 2.00pm)
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Angers and Bordeaux go head to head on Sunday afternoon in what has perhaps surprisingly become a relegation six-pointer with three games of the Ligue 1 season remaining.
The hosts have fallen into danger thanks to their recent poor form, whilst the visitors are running out of time to save their top-flight status.
We say: Angers 1-2 Bordeaux
This feels like a winnable match for Les Girondins, and if they are going to survive this year they will have to succeed in winning. Angers' poor form looks set to continue and despite having home advantage and a few returning players, we are backing the visitors to take a crucial three points.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Angers win with a probability of 55.98%. A draw has a probability of 22% and a win for Bordeaux has a probability of 21.97%.
The most likely scoreline is Angers 1-1 Bordeaux with a probability of 10.22% and the second most likely scoreline is Angers 2-1 Bordeaux with a probability of 9.87%.
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Clermont vs. Montpellier (Sunday, 2.00pm)
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Clermont will be looking for all three points to increase their survival chances when they welcome Montpellier HSC to Stade Gabriel Montpied on Sunday afternoon.
As the Ligue 1 campaign enters its final three weeks, the hosts find themselves 17th in the table, just two points above the relegation playoff spot, but they will be facing a side with little to play for.
We say: Clermont 1-1 Montpellier HSC
As mentioned, it is the hosts with infinitely more to play for than the visitors. However, Montpellier have a knack for not getting beaten by those towards the bottom of the table - even when they are two goals down with 10 minutes remaining - so we are going with the draw for this one.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Clermont win with a probability of 47.61%. A win for Montpellier HSC has a probability of 27.61% and a draw has a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline is Clermont 1-1 Montpellier HSC with a probability of 11.74% and the second most likely scoreline is Clermont 1-0 Montpellier HSC with a probability of 10.13%.
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Reims vs. Lens (Sunday, 2.00pm)
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Lens will hope to keep their slim chances of European qualification alive when they travel to the Stade Auguste-Delaune to take on Reims on Sunday afternoon.
With three games remaining of the Ligue 1 season, the visitors are five points behind fifth-placed Nice, but they will be coming up against a side with little to play for.
We say: Reims 1-2 Lens
Lens will be riding a wave of self-belief after their unlikely fightback last weekend and have more to play for than their hosts. Therefore, we are backing them to edge a closely-fought encounter and claim all three points to keep their faint European hopes alive.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lens win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Reims has a probability of 33.2% and a draw has a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline is Reims 1-1 Lens with a probability of 12.8% and the second most likely scoreline is Reims 0-1 Lens with a probability of 10.88%.
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Lorient vs. Marseille (Sunday, 4.05pm)
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Marseille will aim to put their Europa Conference League disappointment behind them when they travel to Lorient for Sunday's Ligue 1 clash at the Stade du Moustoir.
Jorge Sampaoli's side suffered European heartache at the hands of Feyenoord in midweek, while their hosts most recently fell to a 2-1 home loss to Reims.
We say: Lorient 0-1 Marseille
Without the effervescent Payet leading the charge, Marseille's chances of a goal-laden showing have taken a major hit, while the midweek fatigue could certainly work against them as well.
However, if Lorient are to sacrifice an attacker for a more defensively-minded setup, breaking down the Olympiens backline will be a tall order for Pelissier's side, who may fall just short in Marseille's most winnable game left.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Marseille win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Lorient has a probability of 27.3% and a draw has a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline is Lorient 1-1 Marseille with a probability of 11.31% and the second most likely scoreline is Lorient 1-2 Marseille with a probability of 9.51%.
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PSG vs. Troyes (Sunday, 7.45pm)
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Paris Saint-Germain's stroll to the finish line in Ligue 1 continues with Troyes' visit to the Parc des Princes on Sunday evening.
Les Parisiens were pegged back from 3-1 to draw 3-3 with Strasbourg last time out, while the visitors hit dethroned champions Lille for three without reply.
We say: Paris Saint-Germain 4-0 Troyes
While nothing should be taken away from Troyes' victory over Lille, it could have certainly been a different story had Gourvennec's side not lost their heads and given away three spot kicks.
Facing a PSG side desperate to return to winning ways at the Parc des Princes fortress surely only spells one result, with Pochettino's side aiming to break the 80-point barrier with a straightforward success.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 86.89%. A draw has a probability of 9.3% and a win for Troyes has a probability of 3.81%.
The most likely scoreline is Paris Saint-Germain 3-0 Troyes with a probability of 12.95% and the second most likely scoreline is Paris Saint-Germain 2-0 Troyes with a probability of 12.52%.
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> How PSG could line up against Troyes
> PSG injury, suspension list vs. Troyes
Barney Corkhill
