Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 6
Aug 26, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stadion Andelko Herjavec
Varazdin1 - 2Hajduk Split
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Varazdin and Hajduk Split.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Varazdin 2-0 Rudes
Saturday, August 12 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Saturday, August 12 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rudes 0-2 Hajduk Split
Sunday, August 20 at 5.50pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Sunday, August 20 at 5.50pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest NK Varazdin win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hajduk Split would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NK Varazdin | Draw | Hajduk Split |
30.74% ( 0.06) | 26.78% ( 0.01) | 42.47% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.37% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.49% ( -0.03) | 54.51% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.14% ( -0.03) | 75.86% ( 0.03) |
| NK Varazdin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.51% ( 0.03) | 32.49% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.98% ( 0.03) | 69.02% ( -0.02) |
| Hajduk Split Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.61% ( -0.05) | 25.39% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.81% ( -0.07) | 60.19% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
NK Varazdin 30.74%
Hajduk Split 42.47%
Draw 26.78%
| NK Varazdin | Draw | Hajduk Split |
| 1-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.68% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 30.74% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0)Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 42.47% |
