Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland Under-21s win with a probability of 54.05%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.63%) and 2-0 (5.48%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland Under-21s would win this match.