Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 47.4%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.74%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Stoke City Under-21s	Draw	Nottingham Forest Under-21s
30.15% ( 0.11)	22.45% ( 0.03)	47.4% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 64.81% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.51% (

-0.06)

35.5% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.46% (

-0.07)

57.54% (

0.07)

Stoke City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.65% (

0.04)

23.35% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.69% (

0.05)

57.31% (

-0.05)

Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.56% (

-0.07)

15.45% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.71% (

-0.13)

44.3% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Stoke City Under-21s 30.15%

Nottingham Forest Under-21s 47.4%

Draw 22.45%

Stoke City Under-21s	Draw	Nottingham Forest Under-21s
2-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 3% Total : 30.15%	1-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.45%	1-2 @ 9.15% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.7% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.66% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 3.11% Total : 47.4%