Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland Under-21s win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 38.77% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 6.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-3 (5.38%) and 1-3 (4.95%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland Under-21s would win this match.