Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Widzew Lodz win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.

Result
Pogon Szczecin	Draw	Widzew Lodz
47.72% ( -0.17)	25.07% ( 0.16)	27.21% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 53.55% (

-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.63% (

-0.65)

49.37% (

0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.58% (

-0.59)

71.42% (

0.59)

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.28% (

-0.34)

20.71% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.67% (

-0.53)

53.33% (

0.54)

Widzew Lodz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.54% (

-0.33)

32.45% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.02% (

-0.37)

68.97% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Pogon Szczecin 47.72%

Widzew Lodz 27.21%

Draw 25.07%

Pogon Szczecin	Draw	Widzew Lodz
1-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.63% Total : 47.72%	1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.07%	0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.59% Total : 27.21%