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Osauna logo
La Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 2, 2021 at 1pm UK
El Sadar
Rayo Vallecano logo

Osasuna
1 - 0
Rayo Vallecano

Sanchez (90+1')
Torro (45'), Martinez (76'), Avila (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Balliu (5'), Trejo (32'), Falcao (41')

Preview: Osasuna vs. Rayo Vallecano - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Newly-promoted Rayo Vallecano will look to stretch their winning run to four La Liga games on Saturday, when they travel to take on Osasuna.

The hosts made a return to winning ways against Mallorca last time out, while their visitors made it three victories on the spin to climb to fifth spot in the La Liga table.


Match preview

Osasuna head coach Jagoba Arrasate pictured on January 9, 2021© Reuters

Despite failing to establish consistency so far this season, Osasuna sit in a relatively impressive position after seven games of the La Liga campaign, currently occupying ninth spot with 11 points.

Jagoba Arrasate's side drew their first two games but have since won three of their last five outings, with defeats to Real Betis and Valencia stopping winning runs from building.

After the 3-1 loss to Real Betis, Los Rojillos made a return to winning ways last Sunday, as they travelled to take on newly-promoted Mallorca.

After Jose Angel's opener for Osasuna, the hosts turned the game on its head and led 2-1 thanks to Dani Rodriguez and Fer Nino, but Inigo Perez equalised on the hour mark and Javi Martinez hit an 88th-minute winner to snatch all three points for Arrasate's side in dramatic fashion.

Despite their creditable start, they are yet to record back-to-back wins this season and will look to do that for the first time on Saturday, but they face a tough test against a Rayo Vallecano side in eye-catching form.

Following their promotion from the second tier last season, Rayo Vallecano had a tough start to life back in the top flight, losing their first two games.

Andoni Iraola's side quickly adjusted though, thrashing Granada 4-0 and drawing with Levante, and they now head into Saturday's game on the back of three straight wins.

Los Vallecanos followed the draw up with a dominant 3-0 win over Getafe, before a 96th-minute Radamel Falcao goal saw them snatch an impressive 2-1 away win over Athletic Bilbao.

They continued the winning run against Cadiz last time out, as Alvaro Garcia, Falcao and Isi Palazon got on the scoresheet in a 3-1 win on home turf.

Now sitting in fifth spot, having surprised the league so far this season, Iraola's men will look to keep their momentum going with what would be another impressive scalp on Saturday.

Osasuna La Liga form:
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W

Rayo Vallecano La Liga form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Andoni Iraola, now in charge of Rayo Vallecano, pictured in May 2020© Reuters

While Osasuna have no players out with long-term injuries, Ante Budimir, Kike Barja and Javi Ontiveros have all recently spent time in the treatment room, and they are unlikely to feature this soon.

Following their victory last time out, Arrasate is unlikely to make many changes to his relatively established team.

Kike Garcia will be pushing to return to the side, while wingers Javi Martinez and Inigo Perez will both keep their spots after hitting goals in that victory.

After scoring in his first two substitute appearances for the club, veteran forward Radamel Falcao made his first start for Rayo Vallecano last time out, and, after making it three goals in three games, he will continue to lead the line.

Martin Merquelanz will continue to miss out, while defender Esteban Saveljich is a new injury concern and could be sidelined for Saturday's trip.

They were boosted by the return of creative midfielder Oscar Trejo last time out though, and with wingers Isi Palazon and Alvaro Garcia both scoring alongside Falcao, the front four will likely remain unchanged.

Osasuna possible starting lineup:
Herrera; Blanco, Hernandez, Garcia, Angel; Moncayola, Brasanac, Oier; Martinez, Kike, Perez

Rayo Vallecano possible starting lineup:
Dimitrievski; Balliu, Catena, Maras, F Garcia; Comesana, Ciss; Palazon, Trejo, A Garcia; Falcao


SM words green background

We say: Osasuna 1-2 Rayo Vallecano

While Osasuna pose a tough challenge, we cannot look past the visitors extending their winning run with the confidence they currently have.

Los Vallecanos have been fearless since winning promotion, and if they continue to play in the same style, they could catch Arrasate's men by surprise.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 36.78%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 30%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.3%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (12.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano

Osasuna
19.2%
Draw
17.9%
Rayo Vallecano
62.8%
78
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona12110140112933
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Atletico MadridAtletico126511871123
4Villarreal116322019121
5Osasuna126331716121
6Athletic Bilbao125431812619
7Real BetisBetis125431210219
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Celta Vigo125161820-216
11Real Sociedad124351010015
12GironaGirona124351517-215
13Sevilla124351217-515
14AlavesAlaves124171419-513
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe12174810-210
17Espanyol123181122-1110
18Las PalmasLas Palmas122371321-89
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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