Mali looked solid against Israel and we expect them to put up a much better performance against Japan than Paraguay managed, but the Samurai Blue are in a great rhythm in this competition and we feel they will outscore the African nation in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Under-23s win with a probability of 57.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Mali Under-23s had a probability of 18.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan Under-23s win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Mali Under-23s win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Japan Under-23s in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Japan Under-23s.

Result
Japan Under-23s	Draw	Mali Under-23s
57.33% ( -7.47)	23.72% ( 2.06)	18.95% ( 5.42)

Both teams to score 47.86% (

5.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48% (

0.82)

52% (

-0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.26% (

0.7)

73.74% (

-0.7)

Japan Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.07% (

-2.3)

17.93% (

2.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.25% (

-4.1)

48.75% (

4.1)

Mali Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.32% (

7.7)

41.68% (

-7.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.84% (

6.07)

78.16% (

-6.07)

Score Analysis

Japan Under-23s 57.32%

Mali Under-23s 18.95%

Draw 23.72%

Japan Under-23s	Draw	Mali Under-23s
1-0 @ 12.84% ( -1.48) 2-0 @ 11.03% ( -2.26) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.28) 3-0 @ 6.32% ( -1.9) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.27) 4-0 @ 2.72% ( -1.1) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.37) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.31) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.48) Other @ 2.44% Total : 57.32%	1-1 @ 11.24% ( 1.14) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.92) Other @ 0.78% Total : 23.72%	0-1 @ 6.54% ( 1.09) 1-2 @ 4.92% ( 1.35) 0-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.94) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.6) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.46) Other @ 1.96% Total : 18.95%