Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage
Jul 22, 2021 at 12pm UK
Kashima Soccer Stadium
Honduras U23s0 - 1Romania U23s
Oliva Casildo (26'), Daniel Alvarez Rodas (48')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Oliva Casildo (45+1' og.)
Alexandru Dobre (44'), Dulca (71'), Sintean Mezin (83')
Alexandru Dobre (44'), Dulca (71'), Sintean Mezin (83')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania Under-23s win with a probability of 60.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Honduras Under-23s had a probability of 18.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.44%) and 0-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Honduras Under-23s win it was 2-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Romania Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Honduras Under-23s | Draw | Romania Under-23s |
| 18.78% | 20.86% | 60.36% |
| Both teams to score 56.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
Germany
Switzerland
Scotland
Hungary
