Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany Women win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for Zambia Women had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Zambia Women win was 2-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Germany Women would win this match.

Result
Zambia Women	Draw	Germany Women
25.93% ( -0.45)	23.8% ( 0.03)	50.26% ( 0.41)

Both teams to score 56.58% (

-0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.14% (

-0.5)

44.86% (

0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.78% (

-0.49)

67.22% (

0.49)

Zambia Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.93% (

-0.61)

31.07% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.61% (

-0.72)

67.38% (

0.72)

Germany Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.08% (

-0.03)

17.91% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.28% (

-0.06)

48.72% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Zambia Women 25.93%

Germany Women 50.26%

Draw 23.8%

Zambia Women	Draw	Germany Women
2-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.86% Total : 25.93%	1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.8%	1-2 @ 9.62% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 5.51% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.72% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.37% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.61% Total : 50.26%