MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 19:28:28| >> :600:2160457:2160457:
Spain national football team
Olympic Games Women's Football | Group Stage
Jul 25, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Japan national football team

Spain Women
2 - 1
Japan Women

Bonmati (22'), Caldentey (74')
Guijarro (11'), Paredes (42')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fujino (13')
Coverage of the Olympic Games Women's Football Group Stage clash between Spain Women and Japan Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Spain Women 1-0 England Women
Sunday, August 20 at 11am in Women's World Cup
All competitions
Last Game: Japan Women 1-1 Brazil Women (0-1 pen.)
Tuesday, April 9 at 9pm in SheBelieves Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Women win with a probability of 67.01%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Japan Women had a probability of 14.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Japan Women win it was 1-2 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spain Women would win this match.

Result
Spain WomenDrawJapan Women
67.01% (0.012 0.01) 18.56%14.43% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.08% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.46% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)37.54% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.23% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)59.76% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Spain Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.65% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)10.34% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.19% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)33.81% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Japan Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.44% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)38.56% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.69% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)75.3% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Spain Women 67.01%
    Japan Women 14.43%
    Draw 18.56%
Spain WomenDrawJapan Women
2-0 @ 10.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.78%
1-0 @ 9.05% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.76% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.4% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-0 @ 4.4% (0.0029999999999992 0)
4-1 @ 4.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.9% (-0.002 -0)
5-2 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 67.01%
1-1 @ 8.62% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 3.99% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 18.56%
1-2 @ 4.11% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 3.8% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 1.81% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 14.43%

How you voted: Spain Women vs Japan Women

Spain Women
55.6%
Draw
11.1%
Japan Women
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2023 8am
Group Stage
Japan Women
4-0
Spain Women
Miyazawa (12', 40'), Ueki (29'), Tanaka (82')

Carmona (45+1'), Hernandez Zurbano (89')
Mar 5, 2020 9.15pm
Regular Season
Spain Women
3-1
Japan Women
Putellas (8'), Garcia (48', 78')
Iwabuchi (44')