Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand Women win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Colombia Women had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Colombia Women win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
New Zealand Women	Draw	Colombia Women
43.24% ( -0.72)	26.46% ( 0.11)	30.3% ( 0.61)

Both teams to score 51.16% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.6% (

-0.18)

53.4% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.07% (

-0.15)

74.93% (

0.15)

New Zealand Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.5% (

-0.43)

24.5% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.04% (

-0.61)

58.96% (

0.62)

Colombia Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.77% (

0.36)

32.24% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.27% (

0.4)

68.73% (

-0.4)

Score Analysis

New Zealand Women 43.24%

Colombia Women 30.3%

Draw 26.45%

New Zealand Women	Draw	Colombia Women
1-0 @ 11.1% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.58% Total : 43.24%	1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.45%	0-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.69% Total : 30.3%