MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 23:49:09| >> :600:2176097:2176097:
Canada national football team
Olympic Games Women's Football | Group Stage
Jul 25, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
New Zealand national football team

Canada Women
2 - 1
New Zealand W

Lacasse (45+4'), Viens (79')
Buchanan (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dale Barry (13')
Coverage of the Olympic Games Women's Football Group Stage clash between Canada Women and New Zealand Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: USA Women 2-2 Canada Women (5-4 pen.)
Wednesday, April 10 at 12am in SheBelieves Cup
All competitions
Last Game: Switzerland W 0-0 New Zealand W
Sunday, July 30 at 8am in Women's World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada Women win with a probability of 83.7%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for New Zealand Women had a probability of 3.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.62%) and 1-0 (14.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (5.62%), while for a New Zealand Women win it was 0-1 (2.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Canada Women would win this match.

Result
Canada WomenDrawNew Zealand Women
83.7% (-0.85600000000001 -0.86) 12.36% (0.391 0.39) 3.94% (0.4631 0.46)
Both teams to score 28.99% (2.359 2.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.91% (0.772 0.77)45.09% (-0.77399999999999 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.56% (0.738 0.74)67.43% (-0.74000000000001 -0.74)
Canada Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.78% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)8.21% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.25% (-0.083999999999989 -0.08)28.74% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
New Zealand Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
31.58% (2.581 2.58)68.41% (-2.583 -2.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
5.61% (0.9309 0.93)94.38% (-0.934 -0.93)
Score Analysis
    Canada Women 83.69%
    New Zealand Women 3.94%
    Draw 12.36%
Canada WomenDrawNew Zealand Women
2-0 @ 17.55% (-0.65 -0.65)
3-0 @ 14.62% (-0.56 -0.56)
1-0 @ 14.04% (-0.5 -0.5)
4-0 @ 9.14% (-0.368 -0.37)
2-1 @ 6.66% (0.428 0.43)
3-1 @ 5.55% (0.348 0.35)
5-0 @ 4.57% (-0.191 -0.19)
4-1 @ 3.47% (0.213 0.21)
6-0 @ 1.9% (-0.083 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.73% (0.103 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.05% (0.162 0.16)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 83.69%
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.189 -0.19)
1-1 @ 5.33% (0.35 0.35)
2-2 @ 1.26% (0.196 0.2)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 12.36%
0-1 @ 2.13% (0.143 0.14)
1-2 @ 1.01% (0.159 0.16)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 3.94%

How you voted: Canada Women vs New Zealand W

Canada Women
100%
Draw
0.0%
New Zealand Women
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Jun 15, 2019 8pm
Jun 12, 2015 2am