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England national football team
Nations League | League A
Oct 14, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Wembley Stadium
Denmark national football team

England
0 - 1
Denmark


Maguire (5'), Henderson (85'), Phillips (87')
Maguire (32')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Eriksen (35' pen.)
Christensen (38'), Hojbjerg (45+1')

The Match

Match Report

Denmark ended England's two-year unbeaten home record.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's UEFA Nations League clash between England and Denmark, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Denmark had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Denmark win was 0-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
EnglandDrawDenmark
48.28%24.63%27.08%
Both teams to score 54.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.4%47.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.19%69.8%
England Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.23%19.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.19%51.81%
Denmark Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.38%31.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.98%68.02%
Score Analysis
    England 48.28%
    Denmark 27.08%
    Draw 24.63%
EnglandDrawDenmark
1-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 9.46%
2-0 @ 8.21%
3-1 @ 5.11%
3-0 @ 4.44%
3-2 @ 2.94%
4-1 @ 2.07%
4-0 @ 1.8%
4-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 48.28%
1-1 @ 11.66%
0-0 @ 6.25%
2-2 @ 5.45%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.63%
0-1 @ 7.2%
1-2 @ 6.72%
0-2 @ 4.14%
1-3 @ 2.58%
2-3 @ 2.09%
0-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 27.08%

Head to Head
Sep 8, 2020 7.45pm
Mar 31, 2020 8pm
International Friendlies
England
P-P
Denmark
Mar 5, 2014 8pm
International Friendlies
England
1-0
Denmark
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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