Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 51.19%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Maidenhead United |
51.19% ( 0.05) | 23.47% ( -0.01) | 25.33% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 57.1% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.1% ( 0.02) | 43.9% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.71% ( 0.02) | 66.29% ( -0.02) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.8% ( 0.03) | 17.2% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.52% ( 0.05) | 47.48% ( -0.04) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.97% ( -0.01) | 31.03% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.66% ( -0.02) | 67.34% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Maidenhead United |
2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.4% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 3.91% Total : 51.2% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.47% | 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 25.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
2 | York City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 25 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
4 | Rochdale | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Gateshead | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 21 |
8 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
13 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 15 |
14 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
15 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
17 | Tamworth | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 13 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 10 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
22 | Fylde | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 5 |
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