Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Maidstone United had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Maidstone United win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wealdstone in this match.
Result | ||
Wealdstone | Draw | Maidstone United |
46.33% ( 4.26) | 23.84% ( -0.73) | 29.82% ( -3.53) |
Both teams to score 59.54% ( 0.92) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.66% ( 1.92) | 42.34% ( -1.92) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.25% ( 1.89) | 64.74% ( -1.89) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.51% ( 2.63) | 18.49% ( -2.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.31% ( 4.26) | 49.69% ( -4.26) |
Maidstone United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.04% ( -1.27) | 26.96% ( 1.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.7% ( -1.7) | 62.3% ( 1.7) |
Score Analysis |
Wealdstone | Draw | Maidstone United |
2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.39) 1-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.54) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.62) 3-0 @ 4% ( 0.6) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.29) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.41) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.37) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.23) Other @ 3.5% Total : 46.33% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.44) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.44) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.83% | 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.56) 0-1 @ 6.53% ( -0.84) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.73) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.37) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.4) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.17) Other @ 3.05% Total : 29.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 |
4 | Gateshead | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Rochdale | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 31 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 30 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 28 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 25 |
16 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 19 |
22 | Fylde | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 41 | -18 | 18 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 20 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 44 | -29 | 9 |
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