Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 55.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 21.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Oxford City win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.
Result | ||
Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Oxford City |
55.99% ( -0.94) | 22.75% ( 0.26) | 21.27% ( 0.68) |
Both teams to score 54.46% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.97% ( -0.25) | 45.03% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.62% ( -0.25) | 67.38% ( 0.25) |
Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.09% ( -0.41) | 15.91% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.85% ( -0.75) | 45.15% ( 0.75) |
Oxford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.77% ( 0.52) | 35.23% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.01% ( 0.54) | 71.99% ( -0.54) |
Score Analysis |
Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Oxford City |
1-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.41% Total : 55.98% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.74% | 0-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.96% Total : 21.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 50 |
3 | Barnet | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 50 |
4 | Gateshead | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 43 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 36 |
9 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
11 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 35 |
12 | Eastleigh | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 34 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 31 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 28 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 25 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 25 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 60 | -43 | 9 |
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