Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.