Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Halifax Town in this match.
