Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Barnet win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldershot Town would win this match.
