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Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Eastleigh
National League | Gameweek 41
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Silverlake Stadium
Hartlepool United

Eastleigh
1 - 1
Hartlepool

Maguire (78' pen.)
Reeves (61'), McCallum (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Grey (19')
Parkes (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Eastleigh and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eastleigh

All competitions
Last Game: Barnet 2-1 Eastleigh
Tuesday, March 19 at 7.45pm in National League

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-0 Southend
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League

We said: Eastleigh 1-2 Hartlepool United

 Eastleigh's one win in eight home games does not bode well against a team that has netted in every away match in 2024. While Phillips's away run remains a small sample size, backing them to nick a win is logical, having claimed seven points from a possible 12 under the former top-flight striker. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 50.25%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
EastleighDrawHartlepool United
26.89% (0.044 0.04) 22.86% (0.0089999999999968 0.01) 50.25% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 60.74% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)39.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.87% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)62.13% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Eastleigh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (0.028999999999996 0.03)27.67% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.77% (0.037000000000006 0.04)63.22% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.97% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)16.02% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.63% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)45.36% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Eastleigh 26.89%
    Hartlepool United 50.25%
    Draw 22.86%
EastleighDrawHartlepool United
2-1 @ 6.7% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.7% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.66% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.57% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 26.89%
1-1 @ 10.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.86%
1-2 @ 9.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.12% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 7.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.67% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 2.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.71% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 50.25%

How you voted: Eastleigh vs Hartlepool

Eastleigh
26.7%
Draw
13.3%
Hartlepool United
60.0%
15
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Hartlepool
3-1
Eastleigh
Crawford (8'), Dieseruvwe (54', 65')
Umerah (22')
Maguire (21')
Langston (82')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 38
Hartlepool
0-0
Eastleigh
Odusina (31'), Bloomfield (73'), Liddle (90'), White (90+3')
Odusina (46')
House (31'), Hollands (45+1'), Bird (90'), (90')
Feb 16, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 10
Eastleigh
2-1
Hartlepool
House (1'), Barnett (27')
Grey (90+1')
White (55'), Ferguson (87')
Jan 7, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Hartlepool
2-1
Eastleigh
Holohan (51'), Shelton (67')
Smart (52')
Wynter (30')
Sep 28, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 16
Eastleigh
1-1
Hartlepool
Hollands (71')
Miley (57'), Green (80')
Toure (11')
Holohan (48')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City19125237142341
2Forest Green RoversForest Green19125237162141
3Barnet19131540231740
4Gateshead19114435241137
5Oldham AthleticOldham1897229171234
6Rochdale189362718930
7Halifax TownHalifax188552016429
8Solihull MoorsSolihull198473532328
9Yeovil TownYeovil198472120128
10AltrinchamAltrincham197662925427
11Sutton UnitedSutton187472626025
12Eastleigh196762626025
13Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool196762224-225
14Tamworth197482233-1125
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red195773124722
16Southend UnitedSouthend195772224-222
17Aldershot TownAldershot195772530-522
18Woking195591926-720
19WealdstoneWealdstone194781926-719
20Braintree TownBraintree1954101523-819
21Fylde1853102337-1418
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead1944112136-1516
23Boston UnitedBoston1935111932-1314
24Ebbsfleet1815121543-288
> National League Full Table


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