Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kidderminster Harriers in this match.
Result | ||
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
32.04% ( -0.28) | 25.08% ( 0.18) | 42.87% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 56.38% ( -0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.02% ( -0.9) | 46.98% ( 0.9) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.77% ( -0.84) | 69.23% ( 0.84) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.18% ( -0.62) | 27.82% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.59% ( -0.8) | 63.41% ( 0.8) |
Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.11% ( -0.33) | 21.89% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.85% ( -0.51) | 55.15% ( 0.51) |
Score Analysis |
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
1-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.04% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 8.99% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.4% Total : 42.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 50 | 29 | 21 | 49 |
2 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 47 |
4 | Gateshead | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 38 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 36 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 35 |
11 | Eastleigh | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 33 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 33 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 33 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Tamworth | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 30 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 28 |
17 | Woking | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 25 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 24 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 58 | -41 | 9 |
> National League Full Table |