MX23RW : Friday, September 27 22:37:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League South
May 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Woodside Road, Worthing
Braintree Town

Worthing
2 - 1
Braintree

Rodari (2'), Sims (56' og.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Worthing and Braintree Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Worthing 3-1 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 1-1 Braintree
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 51.5%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Worthing in this match.

Result
WorthingDrawBraintree Town
51.5% (0.636 0.64) 22.29% (-0.194 -0.19) 26.21% (-0.439 -0.44)
Both teams to score 62.14% (0.268 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.36% (0.54 0.54)37.64% (-0.539 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.12% (0.57700000000001 0.58)59.88% (-0.575 -0.57)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.18% (0.408 0.41)14.82% (-0.406 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.88% (0.771 0.77)43.12% (-0.769 -0.77)
Braintree Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.95% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)27.05% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.58% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)62.42% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Worthing 51.5%
    Braintree Town 26.21%
    Draw 22.29%
WorthingDrawBraintree Town
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.65% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-0 @ 7.31% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.08% (0.097 0.1)
3-0 @ 4.65% (0.078 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.97% (0.06 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.9% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.22% (0.068 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.9% (0.055 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 51.5%
1-1 @ 10% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 6.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.01% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.73% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.29%
1-2 @ 6.54% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-1 @ 5.24% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.43% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.85% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 26.21%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
gameweek 44
Worthing
2-1
Braintree
Chambers (36'), Meekums (70')
Bradshaw (14')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
gameweek 13
Braintree
2-1
Worthing
Rush (19'), Matthews (87' pen.)
Racine (11')
Racine (90')
rhs 2.0
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