Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Bath City win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hemel Hempstead Town would win this match.

Result
Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	Bath City
39.94% ( -0)	25.05% ( -0.01)	35.01% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 57.37% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.93% (

0.03)

46.07% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.62% (

0.03)

68.37% (

-0.04)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.07% (

0.01)

22.92% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.31% (

0.02)

56.68% (

-0.03)

Bath City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.42% (

0.02)

25.57% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.56% (

0.03)

60.44% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town 39.94%

Bath City 35.01%

Draw 25.04%

Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	Bath City
2-1 @ 8.67% 1-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.36% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 39.94%	1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.04%	1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 35.01%