National League South | Gameweek 45

Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK

Westleigh Park

Havant & W'ville
1 - 2
Braintree

McCarthy (65')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coulthirst (51' pen., 77')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the National League South clash between Havant & Waterlooville and Braintree Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Havant & Waterlooville

All competitions

Last Game: Havant & W'ville 0-0 Welling United
Wednesday, April 10 at 7.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

Top scorers

Braintree Town

All competitions

Last Game: Braintree 0-0 Taunton Town
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braintree Town win with a probability of 48.48%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braintree Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 1-0 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braintree Town would win this match.

Result
Havant & Waterlooville	Draw	Braintree Town
26.83% ( 0.09)	24.69% ( 0.02)	48.48% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 54.46% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.95% (

-0.01)

48.05% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.79% (

-0.01)

70.21% (

0.01)

Havant & Waterlooville Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.95% (

0.06)

32.04% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.49% (

0.07)

68.51% (

-0.08)

Braintree Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.13% (

-0.05)

19.87% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.03% (

-0.08)

51.97% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Havant & Waterlooville 26.83%

Braintree Town 48.47%

Draw 24.69%

Havant & Waterlooville	Draw	Braintree Town
1-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 26.83%	1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 6.37% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.69%	0-1 @ 10.28% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.31% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.1% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 48.47%