Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Hereford United	Draw	Scunthorpe United
42.25% ( 0.01)	27.65% ( -0.01)	30.1% ( 0)

Both teams to score 47.56% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.04% (

0.03)

57.95% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.34% (

0.03)

78.65% (

-0.03)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.91% (

0.02)

27.09% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.53% (

0.03)

62.47% (

-0.03)

Scunthorpe United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.23% (

0.02)

34.77% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.5% (

0.02)

71.5% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Hereford United 42.25%

Scunthorpe United 30.1%

Draw 27.64%

Hereford United	Draw	Scunthorpe United
1-0 @ 12.3% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.5% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 42.25%	1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.64%	0-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.86% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.26% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 30.1%