Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.
