Alfreton

3 - 3

Hereford

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.