Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for DC United had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest DC United win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.