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USA national football team
Olympics Women's Football | Quarter-Finals
Aug 3, 2024 at 2pm UK
 
Japan national football team

1-0

Rodman (105+2')
FT
(aet)
Coverage of the Olympics Women's Football Quarter-Finals clash between USA Women and Japan Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Olympics Women's Football
Last Game: Australia Women 1-2 USA Women
Wednesday, July 31 at 6pm in Olympic Games Women's Football
All competitions
Olympics Women's Football
Last Game: Japan Women 3-1 Nigeria Women
Wednesday, July 31 at 4pm in Olympic Games Women's Football

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a win with a probability of 65.03%. A draw has a probability of 21.3% and a win for has a probability of 13.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (13.01%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.01%), while for a win it is 0-1 (5.29%).

Result
Draw
65.03% (0.345 0.34) 21.31% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 13.66% (-0.382 -0.38)
Both teams to score 44.01% (-1.057 -1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.78% (-0.893 -0.89)51.21% (0.891 0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.94% (-0.786 -0.79)73.05% (0.783 0.78)
Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.97% (-0.184 -0.18)15.03% (0.183 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.49% (-0.347 -0.35)43.51% (0.345 0.34)
Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.79% (-1.13 -1.13)48.2% (1.129 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.62% (-0.837 -0.84)83.38% (0.83500000000001 0.84)
Score Analysis
    65.02%
    13.66%
    Draw 21.3%
Draw
1-0 @ 13.72% (0.39 0.39)
2-0 @ 13.01% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
3-0 @ 8.22% (0.136 0.14)
3-1 @ 6% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-0 @ 3.9% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.84% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.106 -0.11)
5-0 @ 1.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.08% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 65.02%
1-1 @ 10.01% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.24% (0.255 0.26)
2-2 @ 3.46% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 21.3%
0-1 @ 5.29% (0.021 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.66% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-2 @ 1.93% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 13.66%

How you voted: 1st Group B vs 2nd Group C

1st Group B
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
2nd Group C
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 5.30pm
Semi-Finals
USA Women
2-1
Japan Women
Shaw (21'), Horan (77' pen.)
Seike (1')
Minami (29'), Ueki (45+1')
Feb 19, 2023 8.30pm
Regular Season
USA Women
1-0
Japan Women
Pugh (45')
Mar 12, 2020 12am
Regular Season
USA Women
3-1
Japan Women
Rapinoe (7'), Press (26'), Horan (83')
Heath (50')
Iwabuchi (58')
Tanaka (5'), Ueki (90')
Jul 6, 2015 12am
Final
USA Women
5-2
Japan Women
Lloyd (3', 5', 16'), Holiday (14'), Heath (54')
Ogimi (27'), Johnston (52' og.)
Sawa (82'), Iwabuchi (85')