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Manchester City logo
FA Cup | Semi-Finals
Apr 16, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Liverpool logo

Man City
2 - 3
Liverpool

Grealish (47'), Silva (90+1')
Jesus (27'), Fernandinho (57')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Konate (9'), Mane (17', 45')
Fabinho (37'), Keita (48'), Mane (61')

Preview: Manchester City vs. Liverpool - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Manchester City and Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Having both booked their spots in the Champions League semi-finals, Manchester City and Liverpool renew hostilities in the final four of the FA Cup on Saturday afternoon at Wembley Stadium.

The two sides played out a pulsating 2-2 draw in last weekend's Premier League encounter at the Etihad Stadium and are bidding to meet either Chelsea or Crystal Palace in the showpiece event this weekend.


Match preview

Manchester City's Raheem Sterling clashes with Atletico Madrid's Stefan Savic during the match on April 13, 2022 © Reuters

Perhaps giving Atletico Madrid a taste of their own medicine somewhat, Man City kept a cool head while Diego Simeone and co lost theirs at the Wanda Metropolitano, and the Champions League crown is now within touching distance for the reigning Premier League champions.

Kevin De Bruyne's winner in the first leg was all that was necessary for Guardiola's side to set up a final-four clash with Real Madrid after a fiery 0-0 second-leg draw in the Spanish capital, and the dream of a historic treble is well and truly alive for the Manchester club.

Twice City went ahead against Liverpool in last weekend's top-of-the-table Premier League battle, and twice they were pegged back, but the destiny of the trophy is still in their own hands, and they have enjoyed a relatively simple run to the FA Cup semi-finals.

Swindon Town, Fulham, Peterborough United and Southampton have all been no match for Guardiola's men in this year's competition, but they have bowed out in the semi-finals two seasons in a row, and the Catalan coach will be wary of the final-four curse striking again.

City have only managed to claim one FA Cup in Guardiola's tenure so far in 2018-19, but they bring a 10-match unbeaten run in all competitions to Wembley Stadium, which is controversially still hosting the match despite the widespread travel disruption set to impact supporters.

Jurgen Klopp in charge of Liverpool in April 2022© Reuters

A raft of changes - seven to be exact - for the second-leg clash with Benfica left a portion of Liverpool fans slightly fearful about the prospect of a Benfica comeback, but the Reds' first-leg domination saved their bacon after an end-to-end Anfield encounter.

Roberto Firmino's brace and Ibrahima Konate's header cancelled out strikes from Goncalo Ramos, Roman Yaremchuk and the in-demand Darwin Nunez in a 3-3 thriller, with the latter also seeing two further strikes ruled out for offside as Liverpool set up a semi-final showdown with giant killers Villarreal.

Never before have Liverpool managed to reach the semi-finals of the EFL Cup, FA Cup and Champions League in one season, and aspirations of a remarkable quadruple are very much still a possibility, even though they will be relying on Man City dropping points to have a shot at Premier League glory.

The Reds have knocked Shrewsbury Town, Cardiff City, Norwich City and Nottingham Forest out of the tournament to reach the FA Cup semi-finals for the first time since 2014-15 - before Klopp had arrived - and they have made the final on eight of the last 10 occasions that they have reached the final four.

The draw with Benfica marked a seventh game without defeat in all competitions for the Reds - who have found the back of the net at least twice in six of those games - but they have now gone five games without a win versus Man City after the Etihad spectacular earlier this month.

City and Liverpool have not been familiar foes in the FA Cup down the years, with the most recent meeting between the two clubs in the competition coming all the way back in 2002-03, where Danny Murphy's penalty propelled the Reds to victory in the third round.

Manchester City FA Cup form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Manchester City form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • D

Liverpool FA Cup form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Liverpool form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • D



Team News

Manchester City's Kyle Walker pictured on April 13, 2022© Reuters

Man City were in the wars against Atletico on Wednesday night - Phil Foden's bandaged head was evidence of that - and Guardiola also lost Kyle Walker and Kevin De Bruyne to injuries, with the former twisting his ankle while De Bruyne needed stitches in his calf.

Guardiola claimed that the injuries left his side in "big trouble" before the semi-final, but Ruben Dias was fit enough to make the bench at the Wanda Metropolitano, and Gabriel Jesus is back from a European suspension.

Dias's return could see John Stones move to right-back to cover for the injured Walker, or Joao Cancelo could switch flanks as either Nathan Ake or Oleksandr Zinchenko return on the left, so Guardiola has plenty of options for change in the defensive areas. De Bruyne's issue will also likely lead to a recall for Raheem Sterling.

In contrast, Liverpool boss Klopp could once again be working with a full complement of options after his players came through the second leg with Benfica unscathed, but Diogo Jota has emerged as a slight doubt due to a knock.

Virgil van Dijk, Andy Robertson and Trent Alexander-Arnold are set for recalls to the backline, while Fabinho and Thiago Alcantara both came off the bench against Benfica and should feature from the off here.

Mohamed Salah and Sadio Mane are also poised to come back into the first XI, with Luis Diaz potentially joining the African duo after coming off just after the hour mark in the second leg with Benfica.

Manchester City possible starting lineup:
Ederson; Cancelo, Stones, Laporte, Ake; Silva, Rodri, Gundogan; Jesus, Sterling, Grealish

Liverpool possible starting lineup:
Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Konate, Van Dijk, Robertson; Henderson, Fabinho, Thiago; Salah, Mane, Diaz


SM words green background

We say: Manchester City 1-2 Liverpool

Man City arguably should have killed the game off against Liverpool early doors last week, but injuries to key players during a clash with Atletico which certainly left its mark undoubtedly hands Liverpool the advantage.

While Guardiola's first XI left it all out on the Wanda Metropolitano turf, Klopp was able to give a good number of his big-hitters the night off, and the fresh legs of a free-scoring Liverpool side can once again carve their way through the City backline to advance to the final.


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Man City vs Liverpool

Manchester City
39.6%
Liverpool
60.4%
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Manchester City's Kevin De Bruyne celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on April 5, 2022
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