Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 54.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Niort had a probability of 19.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Niort win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajaccio would win this match.