Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 56.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Atlas had a probability of 19.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.28%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for an Atlas win it was 1-0 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
