Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 61.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 17.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Queretaro win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.