We said: Serbia 0-1 Switzerland
Both nations have lacked a cutting edge in the final third in recent international matches, particularly Serbia, and a low-scoring affair could be on the cards this weekend.
Switzerland have got the better of Serbia in their previous two meetings and we feel that they may just have the edge once again, claiming a narrow victory to climb off the foot of the group.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Serbia win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.