We say: Genoa 3-2 Reggiana
Genoa have witnessed many thrillers at home so far this season, including the 4-3 win over Modena in the last round, and even though rotation is likely, they should still progress here.
Reggiana have hit a good run of form at a great time to take on a side in the division above, and they should make it a competitive encounter, even if they are likely to come up just short.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 51.43%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 23.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Reggiana win it was 0-1 (7.39%).